From the chart, we can see that subprime ARM is getting smaller in percentage in 09 and 10. But there are still significant Prim and Alt-A ARMs. With the hope that "Santa" Obama will give U.S. home owners some big help on reducing mortgage rate, we should see a lot of these ARMs to get refinanced in the coming year. It will be a good news for the housing market.
It is almost concensus that there will be a pickup in transaction volume in next spring, but it might not be able to translate to a pickup in home price. However, for people who need a house to live in, with potentially low interest rate and low home price, next spring is not a bad time to buy.
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